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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
weeeskiesjoseph00677beachboy40xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)53% (737–666, n=1403)53% (10–9, n=19)68% (43–20, n=63)61% (495–321, n=816)
Consensus PnL$19K$5.6M$5.8M-$352K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #871PM monthly #2was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)75% (6 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +4 pts n=66, ROI +3%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicTennis −4 pts, n=64—NBA −6 pts, n=93Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won56% of 1252 at avg 54¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 21% of 170)12% (won 0% of 2)3% (won 17% of 6)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 41% of 400)6% (won 0% of 1)30% (won 57% of 63)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 61% of 312)65% (won 73% of 11)54% (won 51% of 115)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 84% of 370)18% (won 67% of 3)14% (won 86% of 29)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.