Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4beachboy400gringo00pleaseplease123
Record (consensus markets)84% (283–55, n=338)68% (43–20, n=63)75% (6–2, n=8)51% (196–192, n=388)
Consensus PnL$440K$5.8M$3.5M$5.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #724was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #92
Sides with the consensus87% (55 of 63 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won91% of 375 at avg 90¢, ROI +1%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%—
Entries under 30¢6% (won 0% of 24)3% (won 17% of 6)0%—
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 29% of 7)29% (won 56% of 62)0%—
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 64% of 11)54% (won 51% of 115)100% (won 86% of 7)—
Entries 70¢ and up89% (won 100% of 333)14% (won 86% of 29)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.