x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4

Consensus PnL $437K · win rate 84% (272–51, n=323) · PM monthly #724 · holds 48 consensus positions

0x6916cc00...f3592fd4Polymarket

⚖️Arb🎯Sharp🎰Degen

Consensus PnL

$437.4K

Record

272W / 51L

Win Rate

84.0%

of 323 settled

Batting Avg

46.0%

Status

Profitable

Win-rate rank

#355

Source

PM monthly #724

Trades

12,896

Markets

1,671

Volume

$23.3M

Top consensus positions

48 in listed consensus markets · 43 of 48 on the consensus side (90%)

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No $16K · now 97¢ · in at 95¢with the consensus (91% of 22)
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?No $15K · now 99¢ · in at 99¢with the consensus (83% of 6)
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?No $11K · now 99¢ · in at 99¢with the consensus (86% of 7)
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?No $9.8K · now 98¢ · in at 97¢with the consensus (92% of 12)
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No $9.7K · now 98¢ · in at 97¢with the consensus (72% of 18)
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No $9.5K · now 95¢ · in at 90¢with the consensus (80% of 25)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No $8.8K · now 88¢ · in at 81¢with the consensus (83% of 24)
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 26-November 1?No $8.0K · now 100¢ · in at 98¢with the consensus (100% of 7)

Specialties

377 settled consensus markets · held side won 91% at an average entry of 90¢

No topic with 10 or more settled markets where x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.

Entry prices (share of settled markets)

under 30¢: 6%(won 0% of 24)
30–50¢: 2%(won 29% of 7)
50–70¢: 3%(won 64% of 11)
70¢ and up: 89%(won 100% of 335)

Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.