Consensus PnL $266K · win rate 93% (1035–80, n=1115) · PM monthly #253 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$265.7K
Record
1035W / 80L
Win Rate
93.0%
of 1115 settled
Batting Avg
33.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#191
Source
PM monthly #253
Record (90 d)
666/670 · 99%
Trades
3,845
Markets
1,702
Volume
$15.1M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes $1.5K · now 35¢ · in at 48¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
1,003 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 86¢- Esports
+24 pts
side won 100% of 202 · avg entry 76¢
ROI +25%
- MMA
+20 pts
side won 100% of 40 · avg entry 80¢
ROI +12%
- Soccer
+10 pts
side won 99% of 685 · avg entry 89¢
ROI +4%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 94% of 16)
- 30–50¢: 5%(won 94% of 47)
- 50–70¢: 12%(won 99% of 118)
- 70¢ and up: 82%(won 100% of 822)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.