Consensus PnL $25K · win rate 61% (86–56, n=142) · PM monthly #651 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$25.4K
Record
86W / 56L
Win Rate
61.0%
of 142 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1130
Source
PM monthly #651
Trades
22
Markets
146
Volume
$477.7K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 2 on the consensus side (0%)- Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)Falcons $2.6K · now 52¢ · in at 52¢against the consensus (Buccaneers)
- Falcons vs. BuccaneersFalcons $1.3K · now 46¢ · in at 45¢against the consensus (Buccaneers)
Specialties
100 settled consensus markets · held side won 89% at an average entry of 54¢- College Football
+38 pts
side won 91% of 69 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +41%
- NFL
+26 pts
side won 82% of 17 · avg entry 56¢
ROI +27%
- NBA
+27 pts
side won 82% of 11 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +13%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 24%(won 75% of 24)
- 50–70¢: 73%(won 93% of 73)
- 70¢ and up: 3%(won 100% of 3)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.