Consensus PnL -$2.4K · win rate 68% (269–127, n=396) · was PM monthly #959 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$-2.4K
Record
269W / 127L
Win Rate
68.0%
of 396 settled
Batting Avg
80.6%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#525
Source
PM monthly #959
Record (90 d)
56/109 · 51%
Trades
2,588
Markets
1,425
Volume
$143.6K
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Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 2 on the consensus side (50%)- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)MOUZ $2.9K · now 92¢ · in at 65¢with the consensus (48% of 23)
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing PlayoffsBetBoom Team $1.5K · now 0¢ · in at 42¢against the consensus (Natus Vincere)
Specialties
98 settled consensus markets · held side won 54% at an average entry of 55¢- Crypto
+3 pts
side won 69% of 35 · avg entry 65¢
ROI −11%
Weakest: Esports — held side won 46% of 63 at an average 49¢ entry (−3 pts against the price), ROI +3%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 13%(won 23% of 13)
- 30–50¢: 30%(won 38% of 29)
- 50–70¢: 35%(won 59% of 34)
- 70¢ and up: 22%(won 86% of 22)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.