Consensus PnL $18K · win rate 67% (29–14, n=43) · PM monthly #724 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$18.2K
Record
29W / 14L
Win Rate
67.0%
of 43 settled
Batting Avg
73.8%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#567
Source
PM monthly #724
Record (90 d)
34/41 · 83%
Trades
5,895
Markets
139
Volume
$2.2M
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Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 3 on the consensus side (33%)- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group ANemiga Gaming $3.5K · now 100¢ · in at 81¢against the consensus (Power Rangers)
- Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Team Synapse - Game 1 WinnerXipto Esports $116 · now 85¢ · in at 83¢with the consensus (67% of 21)
- Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group BHULIGANI $111 · now 0¢ · in at 27¢against the consensus (Xipto Esports)
Specialties
38 settled consensus markets · held side won 87% at an average entry of 72¢- Esports
+15 pts
side won 87% of 38 · avg entry 72¢
ROI +9%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 8%(won 0% of 3)
- 30–50¢: 13%(won 100% of 5)
- 50–70¢: 13%(won 60% of 5)
- 70¢ and up: 66%(won 100% of 25)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.