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Consensus PnL -$56K · win rate 27% (15–41, n=56) · was PM monthly #850 · holds 3 consensus positions
0xfaebec08...9217e98ePolymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$-56.5K
Record
15W / 41L
Win Rate
27.0%
of 56 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#2221
Source
PM monthly #850
Trades
37
Markets
59
Volume
$477.9K
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 3 on the consensus side (0%)- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes $11K · now 23¢ · in at 29¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?Yes $1.2K · now 31¢ · in at 32¢against the consensus (No)
- Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes $655 · now 46¢ · in at 42¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
16 settled consensus markets · held side won 94% at an average entry of 38¢- Soccer
+56 pts
side won 93% of 15 · avg entry 38¢
ROI +50%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 31%(won 80% of 5)
- 30–50¢: 50%(won 100% of 8)
- 50–70¢: 19%(won 100% of 3)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.