Known as claudionetotrader since Nov 6 2026 · Previously known as: claudionetotrader (Nov 3 – Nov 6 2026), bernardi22 (Oct 22 – Nov 2 2026)
Consensus PnL $84K · win rate 57% (1101–832, n=1933) · PM monthly #776 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$83.7K
Record
1101W / 832L
Win Rate
57.0%
of 1933 settled
Batting Avg
69.9%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#860
Source
PM monthly #776
Record (90 d)
806/1189 · 68%
Trades
62,543
Markets
2,862
Volume
$4.2M
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-06?Yes $37 · now 38¢ · in at 42¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
1,528 settled consensus markets · held side won 63% at an average entry of 58¢- Soccer
+5 pts
side won 64% of 1398 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +3%
- Esports
+8 pts
side won 60% of 126 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +3%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 29%(won 12% of 436)
- 30–50¢: 10%(won 38% of 157)
- 50–70¢: 15%(won 75% of 225)
- 70¢ and up: 46%(won 97% of 710)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.