Consensus PnL $10K · win rate 89% (1382–171, n=1553) · PM monthly #966 · holds 11 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$10.4K
Record
1382W / 171L
Win Rate
89.0%
of 1553 settled
Batting Avg
71.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#197
Source
PM monthly #966
Record (90 d)
78/153 · 51%
Trades
15,276
Markets
1,675
Volume
$432.6K
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Top consensus positions
11 in listed consensus markets · 8 of 11 on the consensus side (73%)- Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5Over $38 · now 65¢ · in at 54¢with the consensus (62% of 44)
- Spread: Bears (-17.5)Buccaneers $25 · now 88¢ · in at 61¢with the consensus (64% of 11)
- Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 58.5Over $24 · now 16¢ · in at 46¢with the consensus (60% of 10)
- Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 52.5Over $22 · now 37¢ · in at 54¢with the consensus (38% of 14)
- Spread: Bears (-6.5)Bears $20 · now 50¢ · in at 50¢against the consensus (Buccaneers)
- Spread: Bears (-7.5)Bears $19 · now 41¢ · in at 43¢with the consensus (45% of 20)
- Spread: Bears (-16.5)Buccaneers $18 · now 86¢ · in at 62¢with the consensus (67% of 15)
- Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5Over $16 · now 56¢ · in at 47¢with the consensus (57% of 36)
Specialties
150 settled consensus markets · held side won 52% at an average entry of 46¢- Esports
+6 pts
side won 52% of 144 · avg entry 46¢
ROI +3%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 13%(won 5% of 20)
- 30–50¢: 38%(won 49% of 57)
- 50–70¢: 49%(won 67% of 73)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.