Consensus PnL $48K · win rate 54% (331–283, n=614) · was PM monthly #913 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$47.8K
Record
331W / 283L
Win Rate
54.0%
of 614 settled
Batting Avg
71.8%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1004
Source
PM monthly #913
Record (90 d)
192/192 · 100%
Trades
2,084
Markets
615
Volume
$512.6K
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Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 3 on the consensus side (67%)- Dota 2: angry birds vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki - Game 1 Winnerangry birds $743 · now 100¢ · in at 37¢with the consensus (67% of 9)
- Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Team Synapse - Game 1 WinnerXipto Esports $572 · now 88¢ · in at 74¢with the consensus (78% of 26)
- Dota 2: Froglings vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerPlayTime $251 · now 38¢ · in at 42¢against the consensus (Froglings)
Specialties
310 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 56¢- Esports
+44 pts
side won 100% of 310 · avg entry 56¢
ROI +44%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 100% of 15)
- 30–50¢: 28%(won 100% of 86)
- 50–70¢: 49%(won 99% of 152)
- 70¢ and up: 18%(won 100% of 57)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.