Consensus PnL -$80K · win rate 34% (337–666, n=1003) · was PM monthly #927 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-80.1K
Record
337W / 666L
Win Rate
34.0%
of 1003 settled
Batting Avg
97.2%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1622
Source
PM monthly #927
Record (90 d)
312/383 · 81%
Trades
1,689
Markets
1,032
Volume
$715.1K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver $5.2K · now 50¢ · in at 49¢with the consensus (50% of 6)
Specialties
374 settled consensus markets · held side won 81% at an average entry of 37¢- Crypto
+43 pts
side won 80% of 318 · avg entry 37¢
ROI +42%
- Soccer
+47 pts
side won 83% of 18 · avg entry 36¢
ROI +48%
- NBA
+50 pts
side won 100% of 10 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +51%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 25%(won 70% of 92)
- 30–50¢: 60%(won 83% of 223)
- 50–70¢: 16%(won 95% of 59)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.