Consensus PnL $21K · win rate 97% (138–5, n=143) · was PM monthly #994 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$21.3K
Record
138W / 5L
Win Rate
97.0%
of 143 settled
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#103
Source
PM monthly #994
Record (90 d)
157/171 · 92%
Trades
0
Markets
307
Volume
$578.2K
Loading this trader’s full history
Large accounts take up to ~20 s
Loading positions and trades…
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 3 on the consensus side (33%)- Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward WinterAlafia Ayeni $497 · now 46¢ · in at 44¢against the consensus (Edward Winter)
- Matsuyama: Keegan Smith vs Yu-Hsiou HsuKeegan Smith $307 · now 25¢ · in at 29¢against the consensus (Yu-Hsiou Hsu)
- Matsuyama: Joel Schwaerzler vs Mitsuki Wei Kang LeongJoel Schwaerzler $294 · now 98¢ · in at 92¢with the consensus (62% of 13)
Specialties
131 settled consensus markets · held side won 98% at an average entry of 70¢- Tennis
+28 pts
side won 100% of 56 · avg entry 72¢
ROI +21%
- Soccer
+25 pts
side won 98% of 47 · avg entry 73¢
ROI +20%
- College Football
+40 pts
side won 91% of 11 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +31%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 71% of 7)
- 30–50¢: 11%(won 100% of 14)
- 50–70¢: 23%(won 100% of 30)
- 70¢ and up: 61%(won 100% of 80)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.