Consensus PnL $550K · win rate 55% (835–691, n=1526) · PM monthly #645 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$549.9K
Record
835W / 691L
Win Rate
55.0%
of 1526 settled
Batting Avg
76.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#941
Source
PM monthly #645
Record (90 d)
295/559 · 53%
Trades
60,644
Markets
2,506
Volume
$19.1M
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Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 3 on the consensus side (100%)- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 $100K · now 100¢ · in at 100¢with the consensus (53% of 116)
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming $50K · now 100¢ · in at 99¢with the consensus (58% of 122)
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerT1 $4.7K · now 42¢ · in at 44¢with the consensus (49% of 91)
Specialties
1,460 settled consensus markets · held side won 52% at an average entry of 51¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where trgparking's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 22%(won 16% of 314)
- 30–50¢: 27%(won 35% of 401)
- 50–70¢: 28%(won 62% of 410)
- 70¢ and up: 23%(won 94% of 335)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.