Consensus PnL $166K · win rate 55% (184–151, n=335) · PM monthly #161 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$166.2K
Record
184W / 151L
Win Rate
55.0%
of 335 settled
Batting Avg
90.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1554
Source
PM monthly #161
Record (90 d)
179/324 · 55%
Trades
1,392
Markets
389
Volume
$1.6M
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 WinnerTop Esports $1.2K · now 0¢ · in at 27¢against the consensus (Invictus Gaming)
Specialties
321 settled consensus markets · held side won 55% at an average entry of 48¢- NFL
+35 pts
side won 85% of 47 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +26%
- NBA
+9 pts
side won 60% of 98 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +9%
- Esports
+6 pts
side won 47% of 105 · avg entry 41¢
ROI +3%
Weakest: Soccer — held side won 49% of 35 at an average 57¢ entry (−8 pts against the price), ROI −14%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 12%(won 13% of 39)
- 30–50¢: 40%(won 55% of 130)
- 50–70¢: 41%(won 63% of 131)
- 70¢ and up: 7%(won 86% of 21)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.