Consensus PnL $2.9M · win rate 52% (154–142, n=296) · hand-picked wallet · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$2.9M
Record
154W / 142L
Win Rate
52.0%
of 296 settled
Batting Avg
63.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1154
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
140,171
Markets
845
Volume
$70.9M
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Specialties
731 settled consensus markets · held side won 56% at an average entry of 51¢- Soccer
+19 pts
side won 78% of 32 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +31%
- NHL
+4 pts
side won 54% of 589 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +3%
- NBA
+11 pts
side won 62% of 45 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +13%
Weakest: Entertainment — held side won 50% of 12 at an average 71¢ entry (−21 pts against the price), ROI −5%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 27% of 26)
- 30–50¢: 41%(won 50% of 298)
- 50–70¢: 51%(won 59% of 371)
- 70¢ and up: 5%(won 89% of 36)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.