Consensus PnL $8.1K · win rate 50% (22–22, n=44) · was PM monthly #293 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$8.1K
Record
22W / 22L
Win Rate
50.0%
of 44 settled
Batting Avg
50.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1181
Source
PM monthly #293
Record (90 d)
21/30 · 70%
Trades
183
Markets
44
Volume
$798.9K
Loading this trader’s full history
Large accounts take up to ~20 s
Loading positions and trades…
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Spread: Bengals (-3.5)Falcons $7.9K · now 56¢ · in at 54¢against the consensus (Bengals)
Specialties
30 settled consensus markets · held side won 70% at an average entry of 47¢- NFL
+26 pts
side won 71% of 14 · avg entry 45¢
ROI +24%
- Soccer
+22 pts
side won 67% of 12 · avg entry 45¢
ROI +32%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 17%(won 20% of 5)
- 30–50¢: 30%(won 67% of 9)
- 50–70¢: 47%(won 86% of 14)
- 70¢ and up: 7%(won 100% of 2)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.