Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: O/U 5.5
Resolved Under. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
5
Under 67%
1 arb excluded
$1.5K
-$51.29
Smart Money Signal
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 91.5Β’ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$57.8 | 51% 23562-22316 (45878) |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | Overavg 4.8Β’ | $67.42 | β | -$67.42 | 53% 59264-51568 (110832) |
![]() poshposh | Underavg 90.4Β’ | $135.6 | $150 | +$14.4 | 57% 12035-9120 (21155) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Underavg 89.7Β’ | $42.25 | $28.09 | -$14.16 | 50% 27470-27366 (54836) |
| β Over leg | Overavg 6.9Β’ | $17.06 | β | -$17.06 | |
| β Under leg | Underavg 89.7Β’ | $25.19 | $28.09 | +$2.9 | |
PE pelik<$100 | Underavg 99.9Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 99% 4331-40 (4371) |
VA Vampiro1CTR | Overavg 9.5Β’ | $117 | β | -$56.07 | 77% 3685-1088 (4773) |
Invested
$1,262.18
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$57.8
Record
51%
23562-22316 (45878)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$67.42
Value
β
PnL
-$67.42
Record
53%
59264-51568 (110832)
poshposhInvested
$135.6
Value
$150
PnL
+$14.4
Record
57%
12035-9120 (21155)
Invested
$42.25
Value
$28.09
PnL
-$14.16
Record
50%
27470-27366 (54836)
Both legs:
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
99%
4331-40 (4371)
Invested
$117
Value
β
PnL
-$56.07
Record
77%
3685-1088 (4773)