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UnderUnderUnderOver
dips.CTR<$100Over
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Under 50%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$1.3K
Combined PnL
$460.8
Smart Money Signal
Under
2 of 4 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under2 traders
Total Value$817.96
Total Shares818
Combined PnL+$487.73
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares90
Combined PnL-$26.93
Under — 50%Over — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA MadridTimeARB<$100 | Underavg 41.8¢ | $223.18 | $458.99 | +$235.81 | 48% 1776-1912 (3688) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 41.8¢ | $191.69 | $458.99 | +$267.3 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 16.7¢ | $31.49 | — | -$31.49 | |
LI LightParadox | Underavg 37.3¢ | $227.15 | $609.03 | +$381.88 | 49% 1800-1902 (3702) |
LI Limousin | Underavg 49.3¢ | $103.08 | $208.93 | +$105.85 | 50% 1850-1866 (3716) |
SH shiifooCTR<$100 | Overavg 29.8¢ | $15.22 | — | -$15.22 | 47% 4175-4797 (8972) |
dips.CTR<$100 | Overavg 30¢ | $11.71 | — | -$11.71 | 47% 11040-12658 (23698) |
MA
MadridTimeARB<$100Invested
$223.18
Value
$458.99
PnL
+$235.81
Record
48%
1776-1912 (3688)
Both legs:
Under$191.6941.8¢+$267.3
Over$31.4916.7¢-$31.49
LI
LightParadoxInvested
$227.15
Value
$609.03
PnL
+$381.88
Record
49%
1800-1902 (3702)
LI
LimousinInvested
$103.08
Value
$208.93
PnL
+$105.85
Record
50%
1850-1866 (3716)
SH
shiifooCTR<$100Invested
$15.22
Value
—
PnL
-$15.22
Record
47%
4175-4797 (8972)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$11.71
Value
—
PnL
-$11.71
Record
47%
11040-12658 (23698)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2e14645e...f9935b
Slug
epl-lee-tot-2026-11-07-first-half-total-0pt5