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Yes
Lucerys<$100NoNoNoYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 9?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$11.64
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares128
Combined PnL-$11.64
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 40%No — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $11.64 | — | -$11.64 | 22% 3495-12142 (15637) |
Lucerys<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 43% 18729-24498 (43227) |
QW qwen300.fund<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 47% 47657-54243 (101900) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 66284-66816 (133100) |
12 123987456CTR<$100 | Yesavg 10.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 30% 2958-6851 (9809) |
LU
luciebotCTR<$100Invested
$11.64
Value
—
PnL
-$11.64
Record
22%
3495-12142 (15637)
Lucerys<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
43%
18729-24498 (43227)
QW
qwen300.fund<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
47657-54243 (101900)
CI
cigarettes<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
66284-66816 (133100)
12
123987456CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
2958-6851 (9809)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x18f920d0...91de49
Slug
highest-temperature-in-singapore-on-november-9-2026-34c