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B0
Consensus PnL $238K · win rate 39% (2574–3987, n=6561) · PM monthly #19 · holds 148 consensus positions
0xb0c85813...c391fe7fPolymarket
⚖️Arb🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$238.4K
Record
2574W / 3987L
Win Rate
39.0%
of 6561 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2394
Source
PM monthly #19
Record (90 d)
2790/8047 · 35%
Trades
48,528
Markets
12,561
Volume
$3.4M
Top consensus positions
148 in listed consensus markets · 140 of 148 on the consensus side (95%)- Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?No $232 · now 82¢ · in at 75¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?No $154 · now 100¢ · in at 100¢with the consensus (67% of 6)
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?No $151 · now 98¢ · in at 97¢with the consensus (44% of 9)
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?No $119 · now 76¢ · in at 75¢with the consensus (33% of 9)
- Will Republicans win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Democrats win Maine?No $70 · now 99¢ · in at 99¢with the consensus (90% of 10)
- Will Republicans win the Texas Senate seat, and Democrats win Michigan and Maine?No $58 · now 97¢ · in at 99¢with the consensus (69% of 16)
- Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?No $42 · now 18¢ · in at 29¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on November 2?No $38 · now 100¢ · in at 100¢with the consensus (83% of 6)