Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Robin Bertrand — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Robin Bertrand
M25 Heraklion: Robert Guna vs Robin Bertrand
Resolved Robin Bertrand. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Robin Bertrand. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
5
Robin Bertrand 40%
1 arb excluded
$320.17
$57.47
Smart Money Signal
2 of 5 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Robin Bertrandavg 73.7¢ | $153.57 | $208.39 | +$54.82 | 53% 61338-53656 (114994) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Robin Bertrandavg 81.6¢ | $74.28 | $91 | +$16.72 | 48% 61030-65863 (126893) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Robert Gunaavg 26.4¢ | $116.08 | $20.78 | -$95.3 | 51% 25699-24415 (50114) |
| └ Robert Guna leg | Robert Gunaavg 26.4¢ | $99.04 | — | -$99.04 | |
| └ Robin Bertrand leg | Robin Bertrandavg 82¢ | $17.04 | $20.78 | +$3.74 | |
 poshposhCTR<$100 | Robert Gunaavg 11.3¢ | $7.18 | — | -$7.18 | 57% 12688-9755 (22443) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Robert Gunaavg 12.4¢ | $6.6 | — | -$6.6 | 47% 11682-13378 (25060) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Robert Gunaavg 29¢ | $0.29 | — | -$0.29 | 59% 32936-23120 (56056) |
RN1Invested
$153.57
Value
$208.39
PnL
+$54.82
Record
53%
61338-53656 (114994)
Invested
$74.28
Value
$91
PnL
+$16.72
Record
48%
61030-65863 (126893)
Invested
$116.08
Value
$20.78
PnL
-$95.3
Record
51%
25699-24415 (50114)
Both legs:
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$7.18
Value
—
PnL
-$7.18
Record
57%
12688-9755 (22443)
Invested
$6.6
Value
—
PnL
-$6.6
Record
47%
11682-13378 (25060)
Invested
$0.29
Value
—
PnL
-$0.29
Record
59%
32936-23120 (56056)