Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette

6 of 7 top Polymarket traders hold Janice Tjen (86%) · Janice Tjen at 65¢ · $17K held · ends Nov 15

Janice Tjen65¢Magda Linette35¢Ends Sun, Nov 15, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Janice Tjen

Consensus Traders

Janice Tjen 86%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$17.5K

Combined PnL

$140.71

Smart Money Entry

64¢ → 64.5¢

+1% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

NeutralJanice Tjen at 65%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Janice Tjen

6 of 7 top traders (86%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Janice Tjen65%

Magda Linette36%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Janice Tjen6 traders

Total Value$14.2K

Total Shares20,861

Combined PnL+$140.58

Magda Linette1 trader

Total Value$9.59

Total Shares27

Combined PnL+$0.14

Janice Tjen — 86%Magda Linette — 14%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

6 traders

Top 2 hold 87%

Freshness

Fresh

6h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

86% of non-arb traders are on Janice Tjen. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 87% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleJanice Tjen 75% · 4

Aligned

ctrJanice Tjen 80% · 5

Aligned

Hand-pickedJanice Tjen 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000Janice Tjen 86% · 7

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
65 6512395314597884	Janice Tjenavg 64.3¢	$7.8K	$7.8K	+$20.76	51% 5685-5538 (11223)
FL Flaznorp	Janice Tjenavg 63.3¢	$4.5K	$4.6K	+$102.43	52% 47368-44608 (91976)
EU EulhunterARB<$100	Janice Tjenavg 63.7¢	$2.3K	$2.4K	+$45.52	53% 6779-5931 (12710)
└ Janice Tjen leg	Janice Tjenavg 63.7¢	$1.8K	$1.8K	+$23.19
└ Magda Linette leg	Magda Linetteavg 34¢	$506.01	$528.33	+$22.32
38 38791873984189	Janice Tjenavg 63.3¢	$969.94	$988.05	+$18.11	48% 70301-75984 (146285)
VeryLucky888ARB<$100	Janice Tjenavg 64.1¢	$3.1K	$899.9	+$47.34	59% 52427-37141 (89568)
└ Janice Tjen leg	Janice Tjenavg 64.1¢	$686.02	$690.49	+$38.49
└ Magda Linette leg	Magda Linetteavg 34¢	$200.56	$209.41	+$8.85
0xheavy888	Janice Tjenavg 65¢	$512.6	$508.65	-$3.94	56% 8780-6967 (15747)
EF efntrick	Janice Tjenavg 63.7¢	$260.19	$263.39	+$3.19	49% 3725-3946 (7671)
nigiri99CTR<$100	Magda Linetteavg 35¢	$9.45	$9.59	+$0.14	45% 14434-17741 (32175)
OM omnibus-076daa<$100	Janice Tjenavg 64¢	$3.2	$3.23	+$0.03	50% 23496-23498 (46994)

6512395314597884

Janice Tjen

Invested

$7,752.34

Value

$7.8K

PnL

+$20.76

Record

51%

5685-5538 (11223)

Flaznorp

Janice Tjen

Invested

$4,537.99

Value

$4.6K

PnL

+$102.43

Record

52%

47368-44608 (91976)

EulhunterARB<$100

Janice Tjen

Invested

$2,323.64

Value

$2.4K

PnL

+$45.52

Record

53%

6779-5931 (12710)

Both legs:

Janice Tjen$1,817.4363.7¢+$23.19

Magda Linette$506.0134¢+$22.32

38791873984189

Janice Tjen

Invested

$969.94

Value

$988.05

PnL

+$18.11

Record

48%

70301-75984 (146285)

VeryLucky888ARB<$100

Janice Tjen

Invested

$3,052.88

Value

$899.9

PnL

+$47.34

Record

59%

52427-37141 (89568)

Both legs:

Janice Tjen$686.0264.1¢+$38.49

Magda Linette$200.5634¢+$8.85

0xheavy888

Janice Tjen

Invested

$512.6

Value

$508.65

PnL

-$3.94

Record

56%

8780-6967 (15747)

efntrick

Janice Tjen

Invested

$260.19

Value

$263.39

PnL

+$3.19

Record

49%

3725-3946 (7671)

nigiri99CTR<$100

Magda Linette

Invested

$9.45

Value

$9.59

PnL

+$0.14

Record

45%

14434-17741 (32175)

omnibus-076daa<$100

Janice Tjen

Invested

$3.2

Value

$3.23

PnL

+$0.03

Record

50%

23496-23498 (46994)

Research grade

NeutralJanice Tjen at 65%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Janice Tjen

6 of 7 top traders (86%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

6 traders

Top 2 hold 87%

Freshness

Fresh

6h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

86% of non-arb traders are on Janice Tjen. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 87% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleJanice Tjen 75% · 4

Aligned

ctrJanice Tjen 80% · 5

Aligned

Hand-pickedJanice Tjen 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000Janice Tjen 86% · 7

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Janice Tjen wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance66.6%

64.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$50.08

Max Loss

-$100.00

150.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.