Consensus PnL $417K · win rate 58% (26551–19236, n=45787) · hand-picked wallet · holds 161 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$416.9K
Record
26551W / 19236L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 45787 settled
Batting Avg
69.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1265
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
1,198,917
Markets
73,497
Volume
$144.9M
Top consensus positions
161 in listed consensus markets · 102 of 161 on the consensus side (63%)- Spread: Rams (-17.5)Chargers $12K · now 82¢ · in at 82¢with the consensus (100% of 8)
- Spread: Commanders (-17.5)Eagles $12K · now 83¢ · in at 83¢with the consensus (100% of 5)
- Spread: Jaguars (-20.5)Colts $12K · now 79¢ · in at 79¢with the consensus (83% of 6)
- Spread: Broncos (-7.5)Chiefs $12K · now 78¢ · in at 79¢with the consensus (60% of 5)
- Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)Colts $11K · now 73¢ · in at 73¢with the consensus (86% of 7)
- Eagles vs. CommandersCommanders $11K · now 71¢ · in at 70¢with the consensus (56% of 9)
- Spread: Bills (-13.5)Ravens $10K · now 81¢ · in at 81¢with the consensus (100% of 5)
- Spread: Jets (-9.5)Raiders $10K · now 79¢ · in at 79¢with the consensus (83% of 6)
Specialties
17,344 settled consensus markets · held side won 53% at an average entry of 54¢- Other Sports
+5 pts
side won 56% of 416 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +3%
Weakest: NBA — held side won 46% of 1810 at an average 50¢ entry (−3 pts against the price), ROI 0%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 11%(won 22% of 1973)
- 30–50¢: 34%(won 43% of 5830)
- 50–70¢: 33%(won 58% of 5793)
- 70¢ and up: 22%(won 78% of 3748)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.