Consensus PnL -$211K · win rate 54% (2392–2068, n=4460) · was PM monthly #430 · holds 6 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$-211.3K
Record
2392W / 2068L
Win Rate
54.0%
of 4460 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1483
Source
PM monthly #430
Trades
4,078
Markets
4,526
Volume
$37.0M
Top consensus positions
6 in listed consensus markets · 6 of 6 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes $121K · now 100¢ · in at 99¢with the consensus (81% of 21)
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)Real Madrid CF $72K · now 99¢ · in at 98¢with the consensus (25% of 8)
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC $60K · now 96¢ · in at 96¢with the consensus (20% of 5)
- Spread: Ravens (-17.5)Bills $31K · now 95¢ · in at 96¢with the consensus (40% of 5)
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?No $11K · now 85¢ · in at 87¢with the consensus (60% of 10)
- SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 0.5Over $3.0K · now 100¢ · in at 95¢with the consensus (83% of 6)
Specialties
4,060 settled consensus markets · held side won 52% at an average entry of 56¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0F62's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: MLB — held side won 59% of 695 at an average 64¢ entry (−6 pts against the price), ROI −5%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 16%(won 19% of 631)
- 30–50¢: 35%(won 39% of 1420)
- 50–70¢: 20%(won 51% of 822)
- 70¢ and up: 29%(won 87% of 1187)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.