Consensus PnL -$11K · win rate 0% (0–1, n=1) · PM monthly #812 · holds 5 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$-10.8K
Record
0W / 1L
Win Rate
0.0%
of 1 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#752
Source
PM monthly #812
Record (90 d)
0/1 · 0%
Trades
134
Markets
6
Volume
$79.6K
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Top consensus positions
5 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 5 on the consensus side (40%)- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group AVitality $38K · now 78¢ · in at 67¢against the consensus (Team Falcons)
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports $22K · now 45¢ · in at 46¢with the consensus (33% of 31)
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerVitality $17K · now 50¢ · in at 64¢against the consensus (Team Falcons)
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group BG2 $4.2K · now 22¢ · in at 22¢against the consensus (MOUZ)
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)G2 $1.7K · now 52¢ · in at 50¢with the consensus (57% of 7)
Specialties
1 settled consensus market · held side won 100% at an average entry of 56¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0x06081d47a698bff1c673d77c50c11dd4c9da3120-1793914245258's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 100%(won 100% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.