Consensus PnL $43K · win rate 85% (74–13, n=87) · PM monthly #703 · holds 7 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$42.7K
Record
74W / 13L
Win Rate
85.0%
of 87 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#338
Source
PM monthly #703
Record (90 d)
137/155 · 88%
Trades
57
Markets
125
Volume
$223.0K
Top consensus positions
7 in listed consensus markets · 5 of 7 on the consensus side (71%)- Spread: FK Radnicki Nis (-2.5)FK Radnicki Nis $5.2K · now 49¢ · in at 41¢with the consensus (45% of 11)
- Counter-Strike: DNK vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group StageDNK $2.2K · now 100¢ · in at 95¢with the consensus (67% of 12)
- Exact Score: FK Radnicki Nis 0 - 0 FK Zeleznicar Pancevo?Yes $2.0K · now 93¢ · in at 81¢with the consensus (57% of 7)
- FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 0.5Over $395 · now 50¢ · in at 36¢against the consensus (Under)
- Spread: FK Radnicki Nis (-1.5)FK Radnicki Nis $279 · now 47¢ · in at 30¢against the consensus (FK Zeleznicar Pancevo)
- FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 2.5Under $108 · now 54¢ · in at 42¢with the consensus (50% of 8)
- Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?Yes $9 · now 95¢ · in at 90¢with the consensus (38% of 13)
Specialties
63 settled consensus markets · held side won 76% at an average entry of 67¢- Tennis
+10 pts
side won 80% of 10 · avg entry 70¢
ROI +7%
- Esports
+5 pts
side won 77% of 13 · avg entry 71¢
ROI −12%
- Soccer
+5 pts
side won 64% of 11 · avg entry 58¢
ROI +7%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 27%(won 29% of 17)
- 30–50¢: 3%(won 50% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 5%(won 100% of 3)
- 70¢ and up: 65%(won 95% of 41)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.