Consensus PnL $21K · win rate 70% (80–34, n=114) · was PM monthly #965 · holds 5 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$21.2K
Record
80W / 34L
Win Rate
70.0%
of 114 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#494
Source
PM monthly #965
Record (90 d)
115/134 · 86%
Trades
1,391
Markets
778
Volume
$1.1M
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Top consensus positions
5 in listed consensus markets · 5 of 5 on the consensus side (100%)- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing PlayoffsNatus Vincere $5.9K · now 100¢ · in at 78¢with the consensus (46% of 38)
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO5) - IEM Beijing PlayoffsMOUZ $5.1K · now 91¢ · in at 86¢with the consensus (59% of 48)
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere $1.7K · now 100¢ · in at 77¢with the consensus (53% of 32)
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ $1.3K · now 75¢ · in at 70¢with the consensus (48% of 29)
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere $519 · now 100¢ · in at 73¢with the consensus (63% of 16)
Specialties
64 settled consensus markets · held side won 98% at an average entry of 70¢- Esports
+29 pts
side won 98% of 64 · avg entry 70¢
ROI −7%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 67% of 3)
- 30–50¢: 6%(won 100% of 4)
- 50–70¢: 41%(won 100% of 26)
- 70¢ and up: 48%(won 100% of 31)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.