Consensus PnL $16K · win rate 90% (9–1, n=10) · was PM monthly #999 · holds 5 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$16.2K
Record
9W / 1L
Win Rate
90.0%
of 10 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#251
Source
PM monthly #999
Trades
7
Markets
21
Volume
$145.0K
Top consensus positions
5 in listed consensus markets · 5 of 5 on the consensus side (100%)- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes $19K · now 95¢ · in at 92¢with the consensus (86% of 158)
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No $9.5K · now 95¢ · in at 92¢with the consensus (79% of 106)
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes $5.0K · now 99¢ · in at 76¢with the consensus (69% of 67)
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No $2.1K · now 65¢ · in at 78¢with the consensus (67% of 133)
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes $1.5K · now 37¢ · in at 66¢with the consensus (66% of 53)
Specialties
11 settled consensus markets · held side won 91% at an average entry of 68¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where Ante25's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 9%(won 100% of 1)
- 50–70¢: 36%(won 100% of 4)
- 70¢ and up: 45%(won 100% of 5)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.