Known as HomelessnHoeless since Nov 6 2026 · Previously known as: ShadowRealms (Oct 22 – Nov 6 2026)
Consensus PnL -$94K · win rate 52% (136–127, n=263) · was PM monthly #597 · holds 18 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$-94.5K
Record
136W / 127L
Win Rate
52.0%
of 263 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1102
Source
PM monthly #597
Record (90 d)
134/253 · 53%
Trades
6,346
Markets
281
Volume
$2.9M
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Top consensus positions
18 in listed consensus markets · 14 of 18 on the consensus side (78%)- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1 $22K · now 20¢ · in at 53¢with the consensus (34% of 120)
- Will Ackerman have the most kills at Worlds 2026?No $720 · now 100¢ · in at 100¢with the consensus (20% of 5)
- Will kyeahoo have the most kills at Worlds 2026?No $659 · now 100¢ · in at 100¢with the consensus (17% of 6)
- Will Harky have the most kills at Worlds 2026?No $605 · now 100¢ · in at 100¢with the consensus (14% of 7)
- Will Myrwn have the most kills at Worlds 2026?No $220 · now 100¢ · in at 100¢with the consensus (17% of 6)
- Will Delight have the most kills at Worlds 2026?No $205 · now 100¢ · in at 99¢with the consensus (17% of 6)
- Will Zhuo have the most kills at Worlds 2026?No $200 · now 100¢ · in at 100¢with the consensus (17% of 6)
- Will Dhokla have the most kills at Worlds 2026?No $191 · now 100¢ · in at 99¢with the consensus (17% of 6)
Specialties
252 settled consensus markets · held side won 53% at an average entry of 54¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where HomelessnHoeless's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Esports — held side won 54% of 234 at an average 54¢ entry (±0 pts against the price), ROI +1%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 17% of 12)
- 30–50¢: 33%(won 42% of 84)
- 50–70¢: 47%(won 57% of 119)
- 70¢ and up: 15%(won 76% of 37)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.