Consensus PnL $26K · win rate 90% (9–1, n=10) · PM monthly #633 · holds 5 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$26.3K
Record
9W / 1L
Win Rate
90.0%
of 10 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#246
Source
PM monthly #633
Trades
24
Markets
15
Volume
$34.1K
Top consensus positions
5 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 5 on the consensus side (40%)- Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No $2.4K · now 99¢ · in at 31¢with the consensus (37% of 27)
- Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes $1.2K · now 99¢ · in at 15¢against the consensus (No)
- Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Yes $287 · now 3¢ · in at 11¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Yes $104 · now 13¢ · in at 15¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes $11 · now 70¢ · in at 50¢with the consensus (67% of 12)
Specialties
8 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 54¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where Maki777's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 13%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 25%(won 100% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 50%(won 100% of 4)
- 70¢ and up: 13%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.