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Consensus PnL $8.7K · win rate 49% (96–99, n=195) · was PM monthly #972 · holds 5 consensus positions
0x612f885b...c59c05d8Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$8.7K
Record
96W / 99L
Win Rate
49.0%
of 195 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1852
Source
PM monthly #972
Trades
1
Markets
198
Volume
$111.0K
Top consensus positions
5 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 5 on the consensus side (40%)- Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes $858 · now 4¢ · in at 10¢with the consensus (70% of 10)
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03?Yes $692 · now 35¢ · in at 32¢against the consensus (No)
- Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over $644 · now 56¢ · in at 55¢with the consensus (29% of 30)
- Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Over $624 · now 53¢ · in at 53¢against the consensus (Under)
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?Yes $577 · now 35¢ · in at 35¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
100 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 49¢- Soccer
+49 pts
side won 99% of 87 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +47%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 100% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 52%(won 100% of 52)
- 50–70¢: 46%(won 98% of 46)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.