Consensus PnL $26K · win rate 66% (69–36, n=105) · was PM monthly #847 · holds 4 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$26.3K
Record
69W / 36L
Win Rate
66.0%
of 105 settled
Batting Avg
88.9%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#608
Source
PM monthly #847
Record (90 d)
70/107 · 65%
Trades
254
Markets
110
Volume
$1.1M
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Top consensus positions
4 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 4 on the consensus side (75%)- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing PlayoffsNatus Vincere $27K · now 35¢ · in at 67¢against the consensus (TheMongolz)
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere $13K · now 52¢ · in at 55¢with the consensus (39% of 32)
- Dota 2: potn9ki vs Zenith (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group AZenith $1.3K · now 56¢ · in at 63¢with the consensus (45% of 12)
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Synapse (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group APlayTime $655 · now 68¢ · in at 57¢with the consensus (30% of 10)
Specialties
103 settled consensus markets · held side won 66% at an average entry of 62¢- Esports
+3 pts
side won 65% of 101 · avg entry 62¢
ROI +7%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 17%(won 33% of 18)
- 50–70¢: 54%(won 61% of 56)
- 70¢ and up: 28%(won 97% of 29)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.