Consensus PnL $3.7K · win rate 62% (1242–764, n=2006) · was PM monthly #982 · holds 10 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$3.7K
Record
1242W / 764L
Win Rate
62.0%
of 2006 settled
Batting Avg
18.8%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1061
Source
PM monthly #982
Trades
472
Markets
2,154
Volume
$264.7K
Top consensus positions
10 in listed consensus markets · 5 of 10 on the consensus side (50%)- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5Over $177 · now 83¢ · in at 94¢with the consensus (67% of 9)
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?No $42 · now 60¢ · in at 60¢with the consensus (61% of 48)
- FC Emmen vs. FC Den Bosch: O/U 4.5Over $42 · now 100¢ · in at 41¢against the consensus (Under)
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-11-01?Yes $30 · now 14¢ · in at 33¢against the consensus (No)
- Will FC Baník Ostrava win on 2026-11-01?No $22 · now 99¢ · in at 77¢against the consensus (Yes)
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5Under $21 · now 31¢ · in at 74¢with the consensus (67% of 6)
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5Under $18 · now 1¢ · in at 54¢against the consensus (Over)
- Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)Molde FK $14 · now 1¢ · in at 13¢against the consensus (SK Brann)
Specialties
1,035 settled consensus markets · held side won 67% at an average entry of 62¢- Soccer
+5 pts
side won 67% of 1035 · avg entry 62¢
ROI +1%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 14%(won 22% of 143)
- 30–50¢: 16%(won 43% of 162)
- 50–70¢: 21%(won 70% of 222)
- 70¢ and up: 49%(won 87% of 508)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.