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17
Consensus PnL $63K · win rate 76% (1555–479, n=2034) · PM monthly #488 · holds 6 consensus positions
0x17d81f82...ac41b4a6Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$62.5K
Record
1555W / 479L
Win Rate
76.0%
of 2034 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#538
Source
PM monthly #488
Trades
4
Markets
2,169
Volume
$562.9K
Top consensus positions
6 in listed consensus markets · 5 of 6 on the consensus side (83%)- Will FC Twente win on 2026-11-01?Yes $653 · now 100¢ · in at 83¢with the consensus (56% of 9)
- SBV Excelsior vs. FC Twente: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over $434 · now 100¢ · in at 89¢with the consensus (60% of 5)
- FC Salzburg vs. Austria Lustenau: O/U 6.5Under $46 · now 100¢ · in at 91¢with the consensus (40% of 5)
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-11-01?No $37 · now 100¢ · in at 93¢with the consensus (75% of 8)
- FC Baník Ostrava vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5Over $12 · now 100¢ · in at 92¢against the consensus (Under)
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-11-01?No $4 · now 93¢ · in at 82¢with the consensus (82% of 19)
Specialties
859 settled consensus markets · held side won 89% at an average entry of 72¢- Soccer
+16 pts
side won 89% of 859 · avg entry 72¢
ROI +15%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 6%(won 55% of 53)
- 30–50¢: 12%(won 75% of 103)
- 50–70¢: 18%(won 84% of 153)
- 70¢ and up: 64%(won 96% of 550)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.