Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will FC Twente win on 2026-11-01?
Resolved Yes. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
12
No 67%
$657.74
$-1.2K
Smart Money Signal
5 of 12 top traders (42%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RO Rocky31 | Yesavg 82.9¢ | $541.74 | $653.24 | +$150.37 | 74% 1682-594 (2276) |
CA CannaeCTR | Noavg 34.9¢ | $1.2K | — | $-1.2K | 53% 16119-14285 (30404) |
 HRTrading<$100 | Yesavg 94¢ | $4.23 | $4.5 | +$0.27 | 53% 5642-5057 (10699) |
 poshposhCTR<$100 | Noavg 13¢ | $2.03 | — | -$2.03 | 58% 10670-7658 (18328) |
BI BillBenter2026CTR<$100 | Noavg 26¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 58% 18784-13847 (32631) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Noavg 34¢ | $430 | — | -$136 | 58% 42700-31074 (73774) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Yesavg 86.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 46920-33177 (80097) |
 RN1<$100 | Yesavg 95¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 57170-49418 (106588) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Noavg 24.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 19451-19817 (39268) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Yesavg 84.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 25666-25500 (51166) |
LI Lilybaeum<$100 | Yesavg 95¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 13793-8671 (22464) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Yesavg 94¢ | — | — | +$0 | 48% 8966-9599 (18565) |
Invested
$541.74
Value
$653.24
PnL
+$150.37
Record
74%
1682-594 (2276)
Invested
$1,238.28
Value
—
PnL
$-1.2K
Record
53%
16119-14285 (30404)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$4.23
Value
$4.5
PnL
+$0.27
Record
53%
5642-5057 (10699)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$2.03
Value
—
PnL
-$2.03
Record
58%
10670-7658 (18328)
Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
58%
18784-13847 (32631)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$430
Value
—
PnL
-$136
Record
58%
42700-31074 (73774)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
46920-33177 (80097)
RN1<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
57170-49418 (106588)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
19451-19817 (39268)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
25666-25500 (51166)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
13793-8671 (22464)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
48%
8966-9599 (18565)
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