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E2
Consensus PnL $14K · win rate 76% (276–87, n=363) · was PM monthly #933 · holds 6 consensus positions
0xe21cff72...fe99b754Polymarket
🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$14.1K
Record
276W / 87L
Win Rate
76.0%
of 363 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#550
Source
PM monthly #933
Trades
71
Markets
403
Volume
$212.3K
Top consensus positions
6 in listed consensus markets · 5 of 6 on the consensus side (83%)- NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?No $611 · now 98¢ · in at 96¢with the consensus (41% of 17)
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No $250 · now 99¢ · in at 99¢with the consensus (79% of 14)
- NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?No $102 · now 95¢ · in at 94¢with the consensus (54% of 13)
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes $99 · now 71¢ · in at 71¢with the consensus (69% of 27)
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex $89 · now 6¢ · in at 59¢against the consensus (Team Spirit)
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe PlayoffsTeam Yandex $42 · now 23¢ · in at 66¢with the consensus (57% of 34)
Specialties
346 settled consensus markets · held side won 78% at an average entry of 70¢- Esports
+8 pts
side won 78% of 342 · avg entry 70¢
ROI +7%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 50% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 10%(won 39% of 33)
- 50–70¢: 35%(won 69% of 121)
- 70¢ and up: 55%(won 91% of 190)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.