Consensus PnL $1.6K · win rate 62% (237–146, n=383) · PM monthly #499 · holds 4 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$1.6K
Record
237W / 146L
Win Rate
62.0%
of 383 settled
Batting Avg
96.4%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#775
Source
PM monthly #499
Record (90 d)
191/355 · 54%
Trades
366
Markets
403
Volume
$1.9M
Loading this trader’s full history
Large accounts take up to ~20 s
Loading positions and trades…
Top consensus positions
4 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 4 on the consensus side (0%)- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?Yes $570 · now 57¢ · in at 58¢against the consensus (No)
- Will PSV win on 2026-11-04?Yes $510 · now 51¢ · in at 51¢against the consensus (No)
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?Yes $498 · now 50¢ · in at 54¢against the consensus (No)
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-04?Yes $105 · now 18¢ · in at 19¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
355 settled consensus markets · held side won 54% at an average entry of 55¢- Soccer
+2 pts
side won 52% of 253 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +5%
Weakest: Tennis — held side won 59% of 102 at an average 68¢ entry (−9 pts against the price), ROI −5%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 10%(won 22% of 36)
- 30–50¢: 30%(won 40% of 108)
- 50–70¢: 38%(won 62% of 135)
- 70¢ and up: 21%(won 74% of 76)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.