Consensus PnL $3.0K · win rate 65% (167–91, n=258) · hand-picked wallet · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$3.0K
Record
167W / 91L
Win Rate
65.0%
of 258 settled
Batting Avg
51.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#937
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
31,630
Markets
508
Volume
$2.4M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No $38K · now 99¢ · in at 98¢with the consensus (37% of 27)
- Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No $1.3K · now 99¢ · in at 98¢with the consensus (29% of 7)
Specialties
444 settled consensus markets · held side won 73% at an average entry of 72¢- Crypto
+7 pts
side won 71% of 42 · avg entry 64¢
ROI 0%
- Economy
+7 pts
side won 100% of 10 · avg entry 93¢
ROI +1%
Weakest: Tech — held side won 90% of 10 at an average 91¢ entry (−1 pts against the price), ROI 0%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 27%(won 7% of 119)
- 30–50¢: 3%(won 67% of 15)
- 50–70¢: 3%(won 58% of 12)
- 70¢ and up: 67%(won 100% of 298)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.