Back to Traders
Consensus PnL $42K · win rate 76% (104–33, n=137) · was PM monthly #978 · holds 4 consensus positions
0x7056f248...8318c95cPolymarket
🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$42.5K
Record
104W / 33L
Win Rate
76.0%
of 137 settled
Batting Avg
66.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#554
Source
PM monthly #978
Trades
91
Markets
162
Volume
$223.1K
Top consensus positions
4 in listed consensus markets · 4 of 4 on the consensus side (100%)- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No $5.0K · now 84¢ · in at 84¢with the consensus (83% of 133)
- Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes $2.8K · now 56¢ · in at 49¢with the consensus (25% of 8)
- Trump out as President before 2027?No $1.9K · now 97¢ · in at 96¢with the consensus (92% of 50)
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?No $1.9K · now 94¢ · in at 92¢with the consensus (58% of 19)
Specialties
134 settled consensus markets · held side won 69% at an average entry of 59¢- Entertainment
+11 pts
side won 70% of 123 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +14%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 28%(won 24% of 37)
- 30–50¢: 13%(won 61% of 18)
- 50–70¢: 12%(won 69% of 16)
- 70¢ and up: 47%(won 98% of 63)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.