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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954650x53eCc53E7joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (4536–3323, n=7859)41% (376–549, n=925)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL—$7.8M$21K$5.3M
Tracked as—PM monthly #19PM monthly #650PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position60% (15 of 25 open)71% (46 of 65 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • NBA +11 pts n=150, ROI +7%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=59, ROI +5%
  • NHL +2 pts n=84, ROI +3%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=136MLB −1 pts, n=64—
Settled positions, side won—59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%35% of 795 at avg 33¢, ROI −2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 11% of 1182)55% (won 7% of 439)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 45% of 1746)13% (won 44% of 101)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 66% of 2085)15% (won 63% of 120)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 91% of 2120)17% (won 97% of 135)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.