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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankcryingbabydicer87
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (4537–3326, n=7863)45% (576–717, n=1293)47% (6877–7776, n=14653)
Consensus PnL—$7.7M$7.3M$20K
Tracked as—PM monthly #19PM monthly #3was PM monthly #699
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position60% (15 of 25 open)88% (22 of 25 open)86% (109 of 127 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=136—Crypto −2 pts, n=4119
Settled positions, side won—59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%51% of 4495 at avg 52¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 11% of 1182)10% (won 82% of 60)41% (won 8% of 1854)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 45% of 1746)35% (won 98% of 204)13% (won 39% of 584)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 66% of 2085)35% (won 100% of 202)8% (won 71% of 369)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 91% of 2120)20% (won 100% of 116)38% (won 97% of 1688)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankcryingbabydicer87
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.5KYes $22K—
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $31No $35K—
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $20K—No $96
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.4KNo $2.3K—
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.9K—No $20