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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4FYYY0689
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (4535–3309, n=7844)no settled market50% (40–40, n=80)
Consensus PnL—$8.0M—$59K
Tracked as—PM monthly #14—PM monthly #287
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position61% (17 of 28 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • NBA +6 pts n=66, ROI +16%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=136——
Settled positions, side won—59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%—50% of 80 at avg 49¢, ROI +12%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 11% of 1182)—1% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 45% of 1743)—61% (won 49% of 49)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 66% of 2080)—38% (won 53% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 91% of 2114)—0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.