Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

beachboy4: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (62–70, n=132)75% (741–246, n=987)
Consensus PnL—-$493K$70K
Tracked as—PM monthly #11PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position17% (1 of 6 open)67% (78 of 116 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Soccer −8 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won—97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)
Entries 30–50¢—25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorp
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $93Vikings $6