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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (62–70, n=132)75% (741–246, n=987)55% (201–167, n=368)
Consensus PnL—-$493K$70K$227K
Tracked as—PM monthly #11PM monthly #14PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position33% (3 of 9 open)67% (86 of 129 open)67% (46 of 69 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)32% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)57% (won 100% of 55)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)10% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes
same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green
—Dartmouth Big Green $1.9KDartmouth Big Green $419Dartmouth Big Green $301
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $93Vikings $6Vikings $1.9K
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $10Bucks $3.2K
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $65Under $1.0K
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
——Raptors $190Celtics $399
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Michigan Wolverines
——Marquette Golden Eagles $13Michigan Wolverines $516
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
——Warriors $123Rockets $82
Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira
same side · consensus Tiago Pereira
—Kilian Feldbausch $155KKilian Feldbausch $3.6K—
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $239Over $5.4K
Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Kansas City Roos
same side · consensus Kansas City Roos
——Kansas City Roos $3.4KKansas City Roos $2.1K
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $48Under $4.7K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $108Over $2.7K
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $83Under $2.7K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $93Over $2.4K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $100Over $2.3K
Warriors vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $1.4KRockets $838
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $542Seahawks $1.5K
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Bucks $367Bucks $1.5K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Falcons
——Falcons $165Falcons $1.2K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $49Colts $1.1K
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $218Cavaliers $915
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $17Over $430
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 151.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $192Under $183
Spread: Kansas City Roos (-8.5)
same side · consensus Florida A&M Rattlers
——Kansas City Roos $100Kansas City Roos $261
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
——Raptors $201Raptors $19
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $3Rockets $56