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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4zerone777
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (4512–3287, n=7799)no settled market40% (454–688, n=1142)
Consensus PnL—$7.8M—$36K
Tracked as—PM monthly #71—PM monthly #103
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (14 of 19 open)no open consensus position77% (10 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=134—Elections ±0 pts, n=212
Settled positions, side won—59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—43% of 609 at avg 44¢, ROI +15%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 11% of 1183)—50% (won 2% of 307)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 45% of 1724)—5% (won 29% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 66% of 2055)—7% (won 64% of 45)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 91% of 2092)—37% (won 96% of 226)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.