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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465fantasy7788Venusian
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (62–68, n=130)43% (3–4, n=7)51% (200–193, n=393)
Consensus PnL—-$290K$233K-$6.9K
Tracked as—PM monthly #9PM monthly #86PM monthly #322
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position29% (2 of 7 open)no open consensus position43% (23 of 53 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • NBA +56 pts n=41, ROI +55%
  • Soccer +38 pts n=26, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%100% of 3 at avg 56¢, ROI +49%100% of 82 at avg 52¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 0% of 1)0%10% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢—25% (won 94% of 17)33% (won 100% of 1)54% (won 100% of 44)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 100% of 33)67% (won 100% of 2)16% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 100% of 16)0%21% (won 100% of 17)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465fantasy7788Venusian
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
—Lorenzo Sonego $53K—Alejandro Tabilo $26K