Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495beachboy4joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)no settled market55% (14812–12351, n=27163)no settled market53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL—$346K—$5.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #150—PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position56% (242 of 432 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +18 pts n=2719, ROI +13%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=671, ROI +15%
  • NBA +19 pts n=101, ROI +1%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Economy −1 pts, n=123——
Settled positions, side won—47% of 13889 at avg 38¢, ROI +8%—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—52% (won 11% of 7196)—12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—13% (won 60% of 1788)—6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—12% (won 89% of 1712)—65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—23% (won 98% of 3193)—18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.