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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00BreakTheBankjoseph00677klli27
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (573–710, n=1283)45% (10–12, n=22)26% (395–1137, n=1532)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$5.3M$32K
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #2PM monthly #131
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position83% (24 of 29 open)no open consensus position50% (11 of 22 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Elections ±0 pts, n=175
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%44% of 586 at avg 45¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 0% of 2)51% (won 2% of 296)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 55% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)65% (won 73% of 11)5% (won 50% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)18% (won 67% of 3)39% (won 95% of 229)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.