Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00alvahunterFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market36% (24–43, n=67)52% (6492–5997, n=12489)63% (987–572, n=1559)
Consensus PnL—$2.9K$3.3M$3.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #741PM monthly #24PM monthly #103
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position71% (170 of 240 open)75% (101 of 135 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—85% of 26 at avg 43¢, ROI +50%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—35% (won 78% of 9)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 83% of 6)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—38% (won 90% of 10)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—4% (won 100% of 1)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.